Back, meet corner.
Well, we've been talking about this for months, so it really doesn't bear much repeating. However, I'm going to repeat it anyways, because it's summer, it's my blog (well, Planks blog, but he's nice enough to share) and this is really all we've got to talk about right now.
You can argue against the signing of Scott Nichol based on his skill, age, injury history, whatever. Same for Huskins. You could even make the case that the Rob Blake deal was evidence of poor decision making by the Sharks, or that they overpaid for Clowe. But, like it or not, those are the moves that have been made so far this year. No matter how much we bitch and moan, nothing changes.
Whats interesting to me though, is the timing of these deals. I was certain that the Sharks would make a trade before any free agents were added to the club, but as of this morning, no personell swaps have occured. I've talked before about how the Sharks' cap situation effectively eliminates their bargaining power on the trade market, and it seems as if I was right in that regard.
With the signing of Nichol (1 year, $750,000), the Sharks have just under $900,000 left to sign two forwards (including Mitchell, see below), which is a straight impossibility. That number is without the almost inevitable signing of Thomas Greiss (as it's really the only NHL job left for him), who made $725,000 last season and will make at least $750,000 next year. In addition, Torrey Mitchell still hasn't signed, and he'll probably looking for a contract in the $800K to $1MM range if he doesn't accept the Sharks' Qualifying Offer. Even if you think that Couture is ready for full NHL time, his deal pays him $875K annually, so there's not much relief there either. With the NHL minimum salary for the 2009-2010 season set at $500,000, the Sharks need to find at least $1.5 MM somewhere in order to sign Torrey Mitchell and either bring up Couture or sign a decent free agent. While this is good news insofar as it makes a trade a certainty, it doesn't do much to suggest that the Sharks will be any better this coming season.
Maybe that's too much to ask for, since the Sharks did win the President's Trophy in 2008-2009. However, after Doug Wilson all but guaranteed a new look for the team heading into next season, his strategy for the offseason has been interesting, to say the least. Yes, players weren't brought back. Yes, some harsh words and strong talk were thrown around. Yes, he signed a few guys. But the drastic makeover that the fans expected hasn't come yet, and the timing is way off.
Something will come though; a trade is going to have to be made. Cheechoo has been shopped, and offers have been made for Ehrhoff. However, as evidenced by the Chimera for Ehrhoff straight-up offer, the value for some of our players might not be as high as we think they should be. Three possible reasons:
1. Because we're in San Jose (a place where free agents apparently loathe coming to), we tend to overvalue our own players and have an unrealistic view of what return they should provide. For example, I thought that two picks (A late first and a second) or a young mid-six forward and a second round pick would be the return for Ehrhoff. That's obviously not the case.
2. The cap situation is well known by other teams, and they're exploiting the fact that the Sharks GM has backed himself into a corner. He HAS TO MAKE A TRADE, which again, limits his bargaining power.
3. The state of the economy is preventing teams from adding any additional payroll. However, the glut of spending at the start of free agency seems to suggest otherwise.
I'm thinking that all three of these things factor into the Sharks' current level of inactivity. I don't want to keep regurgitating old points, but it seems quite evident now that by waiting until now (or later) to make a deal, Doug Wilson has basically shot himself in the foot. If he could go back and do it all again, I'd like to think that he would have been more active at the draft, even if the return wasn't what he was expecting. It was probably a hell of alot better than the return he'll get now.
In addition, most all of the decent free agents have now left the market. There still are a few gems to be had (Taylor Pyatt, although, he'll probably command around $2.0MM after making $1.75MM last year), but most of the solid players have been snapped up. Joel Ward, for example, would have been a perfect fit for this team. He resigned with Nashville for $1.5MM over three years; this contract could have been offered by the Sharks with a trade of Cheechoo at the draft, and they still would be in a better financial situation than they are now.
Hell, maybe the return for Cheechoo at the time of the draft was a third round pick. Maybe it was a fourth. Perhaps Wilson didn't think that was a fair enough return for the former Rocket Richard Trophy winner. It's probably not. However, when you look at the big picture, you have to consider the cap flexibility gained from trading Cheechoo as something the other team is giving you in the deal. Would you trade Cheechoo for $3MM and a third? A fourth? A fifth? Any one of those deals is a steal. Because when you think of the possibility that the cap room could be used to sign, say, Ward and Travis Moen, the trade becomes Johnathan Cheechoo for Ward, Moen, and a pick (3rd/4th/5th, whatever). Would you do that deal? That's almost fleecing on a Thornton scale.
There's no guarantee that the players would sign, or if the contracts would be the same as the ones they inked with other teams, but I think you catch my drift.
So, the good news is a trade is coming. The bad news? We're most likely getting worked over in the process. The Sharks will contend next year, to be certain, but probably not at the level that they could have if Wilson could have pulled the trigger a little sooner.
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Comments
Nice piece, TCY.
Very insightful and intriguing. I hope the Sharks are able to get something out of all of this waiting.
by SharksFanEst.1994 on Jul 16, 2009 9:29 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
It’s very likely that we won’t much of anything until training camp starts. That makes for an anxious summer.
Jon Casey fan since '84
by stufflife on Jul 16, 2009 9:37 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Great write-up and one of the only places that has been hammering this very critical point all off-season. Very insightful and spot on.
At this point, Wilson’s best strategy is probably trying to convince Lukowich and/or Shelley to go to the minors to get some salary relief, a la McLaren last year. Good luck convincing them, though, and dealing with the potential ramifications in the locker room. Also, that’ll be ironic since those guys have been mentioned as “veteran leaders.”
That’s probably the best strategy given the current circumstances, as opposed to getting fleeced in a salary dump (Cheechoo and/or Ehrhoff). Right now, instead of the makeover or culture change ideas he had at the start of the off-season, Wilson is scrambling to keep his roster intact — one that he and the fans have intimated needed changing.
The problem is if the Sharks need more relief than Luko and Shelley’s cap number combined — which they very well might, if Wilson gets stupid and raises Staubitz’s salary too much or decides that JR can come back for anything more than the minimum. Then they’ll be forced to salary dump an actual player — Cheech or Ehrhoff — as opposed to sending fringe guys to the minors, however feasible that latter idea may even be.
How much is the Huskins deal hurting right now?
by TrevorKidd on Jul 16, 2009 9:47 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Dagnabit, you beat me to the waivers point. Very well stated sir. And to you as well TCY.
They're not getting this kind of coverage at "Hockey Night In Canada" folks! - Randy Hahn
by ElvisVF101 on Jul 16, 2009 9:48 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Solid point with the waivers...
Although at this point, I think it’s still too soon. Teams are still looking to add pieces, and can be claimed from other teams for nothing (since the people you mentioned all have one way contracts). I think they still have some value, but losing them for no return might be a reality the Sharks are forced with come training camp.
Fear the Fin: Where... IMA TAKING UR BLOGZ FRUM U!!
by That'll Cheech You on Jul 16, 2009 9:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
We were hoping to not have to bring it up, though… AH!
Fear the Fin: Where... IMA TAKING UR BLOGZ FRUM U!!
by That'll Cheech You on Jul 16, 2009 9:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
My bad on bringing up Husky’s contract. Just, given how much the cap is strangling the roster, it’s impossible for me not to mention. Especially since it occurred this very summer when the cap went to hell and now we’re on the brink of losing a player with value in order to fill out the roster. It just screams short-sightedness on the part of Wilson. This becomes more evident given what similar type players are signing for around the league and as mentioned, the economy. Not to get too far off topic, but Huskins has to be one of the highest free agent gainers this off-season — his salary tripled.
Looking at the Sharks’ roster, there are very few players where the team is getting a huge bargain (production far exceeds salary). To a certain extent, this is how Detroit, Pittsburgh, and Chicago have suceeded recently. Their best players were either on entry level deals, or cap-friendly deals, allowing them salary cap space to add depth and even elite players at the deadline or off-season.
Last year, Zetterberg and Franzen had a combined cap hit of about $3.6MM. For all intents and purposes, from a production standpoint, they’re $6MM+. You can have a deep roster and add a Hossa (for a year) when that happens.
Not including bonuses, Toews, Kane, and Keith combined for a cap hit of about $3.5MM. Sid’s $8.7MM was in play last year, but Malkin and Staal were still on their entry level deals. When Anaheim won in 2007, Getzlaf and Perry were on entry level contracts, which allowed them to ice both Pronger and Niedermayer to a certain extent.
San Jose does not benefit from this luxury. We’ve got Pavs and Seto this year. Maybe Mitchell. Vlasic and Clowe last year, but they’re both over $3M now. As a result, there’s no real opportunity to gain with the overwhelming majority of the roster either making their market value or exceeding their market value. Worse, it’s not a bad argument to say that the latter case outpaces the former. San Jose gets burnt on both ends. Their big money guys struggled in the playoffs and their entry level guys, by and large, are not quite good enough to carry the freight. In the latter case, none of these entry level guys jump to $5MM+ for their first big contract. Instead, they’re in the $3MM-4MM range. It’s not necessarily because San Jose is getting a deal — it’s the caliber of the player, too.
by TrevorKidd on Jul 16, 2009 10:42 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Leverage
I might be a biased Sharks homer, but honestly, Chimera for Erhoff is a lowball offer. A forward with fewer points than the defenseman he’s being offered for? I know the onus is on us to make the changes since we are the disappointment, but let’s face it, if Erhoff played for the Bruins, and Chimera played for the Islanders, the media would be up in arms about this offer and how insulting it is.
I know we call him Errorhoff, but honestly, he’s an NHL caliber D-man, and can play in the top two pairings for lots of teams in the NHL that aren’t Detroit or Anaheim.
The Sharks offense may go absent in the post-season, but by and large, the D remains pretty good. And we were in the top 5 in GA for most of last season.
People are going to try and fleece us, yes, but hey, we made the playoffs last season. Anyone who didn’t has just as big an onus to change. You can try all the fleecing you want, I think I’m actually okay with Wilson sticking to his guys.
Yes, we will have to overtrade and take a net loss, but I hope Wilson does play a little hardball and minimize those losses.
The situation in Chicago is messy, but it still has some lessons to be learned in terms of overpayment. Also, see the Calgary Flames.
I’m with you on the worrying TCY. I just want this team to do well. And as much as their “heart” might be questioned, the wallet is their biggest opponent right now. We won’t have Pavs and Seto for under $2M for long, so we have to be thinking win now.
Great writeup, as always.
They're not getting this kind of coverage at "Hockey Night In Canada" folks! - Randy Hahn
by ElvisVF101 on Jul 16, 2009 10:04 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
We can see the possible trade partners when you look for teams that have too many forwards signed and not enough defensemen – the opposite of our problem. I looked briefly for the link that someone post about two weeks ago for this stuff, but I didn’t find it. I know Chicago has too many forwards signed, but I don’t think we’ll be able to find any salary relief in the Windy City.
Can one of you search geniuses find that link again, please? It’d be nice if we there were a way to rec links like that and post them on the mainpage. You know, that, and the draft analysis for each team, the salary cap numbers…
Jon Casey fan since '84
by stufflife on Jul 16, 2009 10:35 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Eklund has SOMETHING useful
http://www.hockeybuzz.com/cap-central/
They're not getting this kind of coverage at "Hockey Night In Canada" folks! - Randy Hahn
by ElvisVF101 on Jul 16, 2009 10:38 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I’m kinda tired of people continuously second-guessing DW’s work this summer when we’re not even a full month into the off-season (as far as player movements go). The cap situation was gonna be an issue, regardless of whether we won the Cup or didn’t make the playoffs, so complaining about being up against the wall is somewhat a moot point.
It seems like a lot of people who were so quick to defend Patrick Marleau and other big name pieces against moving them now go on daily rants about how we haven’t done this, that or something else. Making ‘big changes’ is open to interpretation, but if you consider that our 3rd line heading into last year (Grier- also one of our captains, Goc and Cheech) are gone or are pretty much guaranteed to go, along with other role players like Moen, Semenov, Plihal and Lemieux, as well as some organizational depth (Armstrong, Kaspar, Dakers, Morris) all are no longer with the organization – well, I’d say that’s a big shake up for both the San Jose Sharks and the entire organization. All of this done to the team with the best regular season record.
We aren’t gonna trade Thornton, we aren’t gonna trade Nabokov and, at this point, Marleau staying seems like all but a certainty unless some amazing deal comes out of left field. Trading Seto or Pavs won’t happen (unless, agains, some major trade comes outta nowhere), and paying Clowe 3.5m over 4 years at age 26 for a potential 30-30 guy is pretty darn fair, especially considering some of the other contracts being thrown around. Dan Boyle won’t be traded, we brought back Blake who had a great season, for 1.5m less then he earned last year. Vlasic won’t be traded, Murray is an option, but would be a mistake for reasons noted in Plank’s write up. People can go round-and-round about the Huskins deal, but come on 1.7m is hardly a make or break contract either way, and I truly believe he’ll turn out to be a shrewd signing. And both Greiss and Mitchell will be back once we get things restructured.
So that leaves Ehrhoff, Lukowich and, as mentioned, Cheechoo. Lukowich has slim to no real market value, so if we can somehow get his contract off our books it would be seen as a major success for DW (but certainly not an impossibility). Ehrhoff definitely has trade value, but the rejected Chimera deal shows that teams are low-balling DW and we have no reason to rush into moving him with the season still 2 and a half months away. Especially considering how many teams are desperate for offensive defencemen. I don’t know what the market value is for Cheechoo, but he’s gonna have to be moved sooner or later because it simply we need the space.
With all that said, people just need to ease off the gas pedal on continuously throwing DW under the bus because they aren’t having their own wishes achieved. I will be the first to admit that after last year’s disappointments I was clamoring for major changes (and, like I said, those HAVE happened in numbers alone). But really, what other names would you want moved besides the few mentioned already?
There’s lots of time left and Wilson is gonna make the best moves he can. At this point though, really the only immediate concern is a 3rd line winger and while many names have been signed already, other quality still floats out there.
Oh, so that's where you edit your signature
by Teas on Jul 16, 2009 10:41 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
The Nichol deal
Everyone Preds fan seems sad to see him go. They call him a character player with a huge heart and enough talent to be an NHLer, which is exactly what DW was looking for. We get him for the minimum (in length and value), so what is there to complain about? Yes, he had concussion issues last year, but do you really think we’d sign a guy when we’re fighting the cap already if there was a major concern about his short term health?
Oh, so that's where you edit your signature
by Teas on Jul 16, 2009 10:44 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Great analysis Teas.
I’ll admit to being one of the panic-people early on.
In the aftermath of Game 4, I was prepared to ship EVERYONE out the door who wasn’t Dan Boyle, Douglas Murray and Torrey Mitchell.
I THIINK I’ve cooled off, and the summer has basically been thinking about team financials rather than the “heart and soul” issues. You’re right, we all know the cap. I still believe Wilson has done the best with what he has, and he’s taken risks when appropriate (Campbell, Boyle, even Guerin). The lack of postseason production makes those risks look bad, but Wilson no longer patrols the blue line for this team, he manages it. And I don’t think anyone can say he’s done anything but make this team a contender.
I’m also warming up to the Nichol signing. Honestly, he still doesn’t excite me, but this team needs some grit. Some angry repressed grit. Some Napoleon complex willing to fight a guy twice your size grit. Yes, Nichol probably lost that fight with Joe. But when push came to shove, he dropped the gloves and stood up for himself. I also remember Michalek going down to the ice in game 2 against Edmonton. This team’s postseason fortunes have been consistently downhill since that moment.
They're not getting this kind of coverage at "Hockey Night In Canada" folks! - Randy Hahn
by ElvisVF101 on Jul 16, 2009 11:06 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Actually, the good people at hockeyfights.com ruled the Nichol/Thornton fight a draw. While Nichol was too small to really get off a punch, Joe didn’t do much except for hold him back, and Nichol had the takedown.
"I think I realized after the second or third punch, I should have taken his helmet off sooner." - Ryane Clowe
Fools and Sages
by mymclife on Jul 16, 2009 11:21 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Teas...
I’m not bagging on Wilson, but I’m also not going to toot his horn just because he’s done well in the past.
Also, I’m against trading Nabby, Marleau, Thornton, etc. So look through my stuff before you say that I believe those things.
There have been moves made, but I’m just pointing out the fact that our cap situation is now, as we’ve been saying would happen, is in the toilet. I’m not second guessing Doug persay, but I think I have the right to comment on his tactics so far this year, especially after we adorned him with so much praise last year. I have opinions which I think are valid, and I’m not holding them back just because they may not be popular.
Yea, we’ve talked about the cap alot, and everyone knew it would be a problem. However, most assumed a trade would happen early to alleviate the situation, that didn’t happen.
You can applaud the Nichol signing, but when you look at what we needed (size, secondary scoring, solid PK play) he brings little in every department. I would have much rather prefered another player. That’s MY OPINION.
I’m not going to give DW a pass blindly. I’m not against resigning Blake, as you suggest. I’m simply asking why the deal had to be signed before a trade was made, since Blake wasn’t going elsewhere.
All in all, disagree with the post, disagree with the points. It’s your opinion. I however, am not “tired of people continuously” lauding our GM.
Fear the Fin: Where... IMA TAKING UR BLOGZ FRUM U!!
by That'll Cheech You on Jul 16, 2009 11:07 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I’m not coming from the position that DW is god or anything. I don’t love the fact that we still have our cap issues. While I do support DW’s work, he’s absolutely should not be given a blind pass. I don’t agree with the moves he’s made because he made them, I agree with them because I personally like the players he’s brought in.
I think you misinterpreted the point of some of what I was typing. I wasn’t saying you were for trading any of those specific players, just backing up the points I was making. I also don’t know why you think I thought you were against re-signing Blake, again, I was just adding substance to the points I was making. We may disagree on how the team is being handled in the off-season, very little of what I was saying was directed specifically as disagreements with you.
You’re certainly entitled to your opinions, and no where have I stated that you’re wrong or shouldn’t state them. I’m just responding to your’s (and other’s) with my own. The cap situation is shit right now, and something HAS to happen because we physically can’t field a team next year, so making that point over and over is somewhat pointless.
While these are MY opinions, they aren’t aimed to insult or offend you. You are the author of this post, but my posts are for the community discussion, not necessarily direct jabs at you or your opinion.
Oh, so that's where you edit your signature
by Teas on Jul 16, 2009 12:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
First off, sorry. I’ve had a weird day.
I agree with you, just trying to look at the timing and see what the heck is actually going on. It’s a crazy time to ba a Sharks fan right now.
This isn’t WTC, and I don’t want things to get out of hand. Opinions are like assholes, everyone has one. Lets just keep it civil (myself included).
Fear the Fin: Where... IMA TAKING UR BLOGZ FRUM U!!
by That'll Cheech You on Jul 16, 2009 12:42 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree very much. This is a place for fans to express opinions in a calm, fair forum. If this place ever turned into WTC discussion section I’d stop posting.
shakes hands
Oh, so that's where you edit your signature
by Teas on Jul 16, 2009 1:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
damn SB Nation are their continuous denial of action quotations!
Oh, so that's where you edit your signature
by Teas on Jul 16, 2009 1:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
All together now
They're not getting this kind of coverage at "Hockey Night In Canada" folks! - Randy Hahn
by ElvisVF101 on Jul 16, 2009 1:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fail
I suck at embedding video:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p3MiD_U4CHQ
They're not getting this kind of coverage at "Hockey Night In Canada" folks! - Randy Hahn
by ElvisVF101 on Jul 16, 2009 1:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That is easily
the most hospitable, gentleman/womanly counter argument I have ever encountered on any blog. EVER. Niners Nation and MCC are a little too light on the IQ side, and a little too much on the INTERNETS SRS BIZNESS side, therefore requiring me to directly place my palm onto my face. You guys continue to ooze pure class. BTW, there is no cream for that.
"I suddenly hate Canada with a passion = BASTARDS!!!!!! " -Mr K, Upon hearing Moyes filing Chapter 11
by joe579 on Jul 16, 2009 9:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I have to disagree somewhat – while it is known that the Sharks are right up against the cap and still needs to sign several players, there’s no specific player that needs to be moved. In my opinion, all the players the Sharks have signed are signed to good contracts (Murray and Huskins are debatable), and have something to bring to the table. While it will be a salary dump for the Sharks, the other team will be getting a decent player signed to a decent contract, who could potentially be even better with a change of scenery (ahemCheechooahem).
I’ve read stuff by Blue Jackets fans. They really, really, really want Ehrhoff, and they don’t think Chimera should get Ehrhoff on his own (which I think we all agree with). And I bet that offer from Howson was a low-ball, Thornton-esque offer just to see if Wilson was desperate enough to bite. Wilson knows Ehrhoff has value, and that he’s far more valuable staying in San Jose than to be traded for Chimera plus a little over $1.2M in cap space.
And Cheechoo does actually have value around the league, more than just a salary dump. The possibility of getting a 30 goal scorer – let alone a 50 goal scorer – for a $3M cap hit is enticing to teams. I do think Cheech can garner a pair of second rounders, or maybe a second rounder/prospect and a conditional pick based on how many goals he scores. I admit, he’s the player I could see not getting an equal value in a trade, but that $3M in cap space is worth it when we already have the top-6 set in stone.
In fact, I could see Cheechoo and Lukowich being packaged together as a relatively cheap potential 30 goal scorer (who will probably hit at least 20 if he is on a team’s first or second line) and a defensive-minded defenseman with Cup rings. They have a combined $4.56M cap hit, which is around the amount paid to just a 30 goal scorer. Teams should go for this.
Anyways, all of those aforementioned players can also be traded for some cheap third/fourth liners, instead of just cap space (i.e. picks and prospects). We all knew at the beginning of this whole thing that free agents hate the Sharks, and that most of the changes will come through trade. And because Wilson waited through the whole free agent frenzy, there are all these teams that might need a guy like Cheechoo or Ehrhoff, but wasn’t able to dish out the big bucks for him, or they might need a cheap 5/6 defenseman – and that’s where DW comes in. He has those assets, already signed to fair deals and have a good amount of experience in both the regular season and the playoffs. Teams will want them, and they will pay for them.
"I think I realized after the second or third punch, I should have taken his helmet off sooner." - Ryane Clowe
Fools and Sages
by mymclife on Jul 16, 2009 11:03 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
(That’s) What she said. Yeah. Spot on.
They're not getting this kind of coverage at "Hockey Night In Canada" folks! - Randy Hahn
by ElvisVF101 on Jul 16, 2009 11:08 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
There are two ways to think of the situation we're in...
and this is a perfect example of the other one. If anyone remembers, I wrote something similar back on the 5th… but as we get closer and closer to the cap, I was simply wondering what the rationale was for waiting to trade.
We knew that the big pieces weren’t going to be added through FA, but I also didn’t expect any HUGE trades. I’m just wondering why the Sharks have waited so long. Last season, Doug made the Boyle trade on the 5th, so maybe my time frame expectations were a little off.
BJ fans do like Ehrhoff, I’ve read the same stuff. And I know Cheechoo has value. But I’m wondering if they have less now because of the cap situation. That’s all I’m trying to say.
Fear the Fin: Where... IMA TAKING UR BLOGZ FRUM U!!
by That'll Cheech You on Jul 16, 2009 11:11 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
True
And underpayment is a good possibility. So is overpayment if the teams really want one of our players. It really could go either way, and I’m just choosing to look on the bright and sunny side of things. Probably won’t happen, but eh, the Sharks have to ice a full team, so I know something will happen, that’s all I want (besides not trading some players, of course).
Oh, and I had the same time frame expectations – did you know that, because of the signing yesterday, the Sharks are the 30th and last team to sign a new player from outside their organization? I don’t think any of us expected that.
"I think I realized after the second or third punch, I should have taken his helmet off sooner." - Ryane Clowe
Fools and Sages
by mymclife on Jul 16, 2009 11:27 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, I didn’t expect that.
Sorry if I got combative or the tone of the article sounded harsh. I was probably a little too sensitive and took Teas’ comment off base (mostly because I felt the generalizations he made were far from the truth).
I guess my point was: A trade has to be made this offseaon, should it have been done early, or is DW smart in waiting for a team to call him? I think I’ve presented both sides fairly.
/whine, whimper, stomps off.
Fear the Fin: Where... IMA TAKING UR BLOGZ FRUM U!!
by That'll Cheech You on Jul 16, 2009 11:30 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Haha, no worries. The cap is screwing with everyone, and I know I get pissed off about the situation too. I’m just happy right now because I discovered we have Frosted Flakes (which are more than good…).
And the trade situation could really go either way. Would I rather that he do it earlier so we’d know what the roster would like by now? Yeah. But maybe he feels like he can get a better value for his players now. I don’t know, its hard playing the “what if?” game.
I do know it would have been fun hearing a Sharks trade announced at the draft, just because there wasn’t anything else to do.
"I think I realized after the second or third punch, I should have taken his helmet off sooner." - Ryane Clowe
Fools and Sages
by mymclife on Jul 16, 2009 11:37 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Chimera
I like the guy, certainly more than I like Ehrhoff, but you’re right when you say that it’s not a fair trade even up. One GM trying out a lowball offer doesn’t mean that everyone is waiting to pounce on a team up against a wall. As for the link that Elvis found again for me, one of the teams I would target as a trading partner would be CBJ. There may be counter offers, but I don’t know if this goes through. Perhaps DW is targeting specific role players, maybe he is looking for a team outside of the conference. Who knows?
I like the package deal you put together with Lukowich and Cheechoo, but I don’t see a lot of teams clamoring for a shot at two guys that are past their prime. Besides, Tampa has fixed a lot of their mess this summer already…
Jon Casey fan since '84
by stufflife on Jul 16, 2009 11:20 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I’ve started to cool on Chimera a bit ever since I saw that he has a multi-year deal that’s probably a bit more than he’s worth, which will screw the Sharks up come next season when the shit really hits the fan (Pavs and Seto getting raises, Nabby and Patty become UFAs, and the cap is going down).
Oh, and while Lukowich is a bit on the veteren side, Cheech hasn’t even hit 30 yet. Yeah, he’ll never get 56 goals again, but I think its safe to say that he’s still in his “prime.”
"I think I realized after the second or third punch, I should have taken his helmet off sooner." - Ryane Clowe
Fools and Sages
by mymclife on Jul 16, 2009 11:32 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think Cheechoo could still be a 30 goal scorer in this league, he’s just had problems with injuries limiting his skating ability. It sucks to have to sell low.
Fear the Fin: Where... IMA TAKING UR BLOGZ FRUM U!!
by That'll Cheech You on Jul 16, 2009 11:34 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The fact that both Setoguchi (a faster version of him) and Clowe (a power forward on a team that has none) passed him on the depth chart doesn’t help his value much either. I mean, I’m 90% sure that, if Cheech is put on the first/second line on another team with ample playing time, he will score more than 25 goals. Hopefully the other GMs realize that as well.
"I think I realized after the second or third punch, I should have taken his helmet off sooner." - Ryane Clowe
Fools and Sages
by mymclife on Jul 16, 2009 11:41 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nice post — I think it is a legitimate concern to watch most of the league spend their budgets while Wilson still needs to shed salary. I know last summer the trade return I expected for Mathieu Schneider diminished down to nothing, even though he was a useful player.
In fact, you’ve inspired me to give up on my cartooning haitus. Thanks.

http://www.battleofcali.com/
by Earl Sleek on Jul 16, 2009 11:13 AM PDT reply actions 6 recs
That’s a dagger to the heart, Earl.
Jon Casey fan since '84
by stufflife on Jul 16, 2009 11:21 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Brilliant.
Fear The Fin: Where Selling Your Soul Is The Likely Solution
by Mr. Plank on Jul 16, 2009 12:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
lol, awesome
Oh, so that's where you edit your signature
by Teas on Jul 16, 2009 2:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
rec city Sleek
and spot on
resident cartoonist @couchtarts.blogspot.com. Endorsed by Mr. K on "CINCODEMYOOR!!!!!"
by CTGray on Jul 16, 2009 9:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's fantastic Sleek.
It takes a big man to cry and it takes a bigger man to laugh at that man. -Jamie Baker
NIEDKLERYARYER
oer sometoethin lie kthat!!!! -Mr. K
by Lurker Shark on Jul 17, 2009 6:32 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I just looked at the comments on Eklund's article about Sharks trade rumors
by stufflife on Jul 16, 2009 11:49 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
If I hear Heatley and Sharks and Trade in the same sentence without the words “Snowball’s chance in hell,” I might very well kill someone.
They're not getting this kind of coverage at "Hockey Night In Canada" folks! - Randy Hahn
by ElvisVF101 on Jul 16, 2009 12:05 PM PDT up reply actions 3 recs
rec'd
because it could only come from an uninformed outsider. That said, I wouldn’t mind seeing him on a line next to Jumbo. The same could be said for Kovalchuk, though, too.
Jon Casey fan since '84
by stufflife on Jul 16, 2009 12:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh, and Eklund is that uninformed party.
Jon Casey fan since '84
by stufflife on Jul 16, 2009 12:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
So I’m not the only one who gets stabby when I hear that? I swear, I will give up almost 16 years of fandom and become a Kings fan if this team gets anywhere near that bad karma case. The Claude Lemieux Experiment was bad enough.
by schtimpy27 on Jul 16, 2009 12:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1
I regard “Heatley to SJ” the same as the “Marleau for Drury” rumors: HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA- wait, you’re serious?
"I think I realized after the second or third punch, I should have taken his helmet off sooner." - Ryane Clowe
Fools and Sages
by mymclife on Jul 16, 2009 12:45 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yesterday Eklund said that Scott Nichol signed with the Predators. I’m not buying anything he’s selling.
"I think I realized after the second or third punch, I should have taken his helmet off sooner." - Ryane Clowe
Fools and Sages
by mymclife on Jul 16, 2009 12:42 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Those trade rumors
are worthy of a gold ol fashion GO FLYERS, PPP style.
"I suddenly hate Canada with a passion = BASTARDS!!!!!! " -Mr K, Upon hearing Moyes filing Chapter 11
by joe579 on Jul 16, 2009 10:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Dang!
Marleau for Plekanec sounds like a winner to me!!!
/sarcasm
That being said, I wouldn’t mind getting rid of Cheech and Ehrhoff, even if we don’t get much back.
by jwizzle241 on Jul 16, 2009 10:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
So, um, this is awesome.
Eklund rumor generator. Some of them actually seem legit. Others, not so much.
My favorite I’ve gotten so far:
Thornton to Wings? (e5)I honestly wouldn’t mind that trade in a non-salary cap world, even if the bag of pucks wasn’t coming back our way, lol
According to my sources within the San Jose Sharks organization, the Detroit Red Wings are willing to part with C Henrik Zetterberg, C Pavel Datsyuk, D Nicklas Lidstrom and a bag of pucks to obtain the services of C Joe Thornton. Remember, you heard it here first!
"I think I realized after the second or third punch, I should have taken his helmet off sooner." - Ryane Clowe
Fools and Sages
by mymclife on Jul 16, 2009 10:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
My Favorite
Ovechkin to Sharks? (e5)
According to my sources within the Washington Capitals organization, the San Jose Sharks are willing to part with D Rob Blake, a Gary Bettman bobblehead, C Jeremy Roenick to obtain the services of LW Alexander Ovechkin. Remember, you heard it here first!
by SharksFanEst.1994 on Jul 16, 2009 10:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I dunno...
I think the addition of the bobblehead is an overpayment by us. Maybe they can throw in Backstrom to even it out.
"I think I realized after the second or third punch, I should have taken his helmet off sooner." - Ryane Clowe
Fools and Sages
by mymclife on Jul 16, 2009 10:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Haha. Maybe throw in Mike Green and we can send a water bottle?
by SharksFanEst.1994 on Jul 16, 2009 10:46 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
you wouldn't mind that trade?
that would be an amazing trade. I would do it 5 times every day
by a10dency2ask on Jul 17, 2009 11:36 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Personally, I think Wilson is being kind of a wimp (or, coward if you like stronger words). Talent isn’t the problem on this team. It’s character. We have here a team full of the same personality, and as shown time and time again, that is a bigger problem then lack of talent in the playoffs.
Now, these are are all nice guys that we all like. If one is traded, we won’t be happy. There will be much complaining and hand wringing. I couldn’t even begin to say who should go. But I’m not the GM. I don’t need to make those decisions. Wilson is the GM, HE needs to make those decisions and instead he’s hiding behind fringe moves and calling that “change.”
Other teams have had to make those hard choices and cut fan favorites/community-pillars with loads of on-ice talent. Tampa Bay trading Brad Richards immediately comes to mind. No one liked that move, but it had to happen. Just like it has to happen here. “Big changes” involve big players, and letting Grier go and bringing in Nichol ain’t it. Ain’t even close to it.
by schtimpy27 on Jul 16, 2009 11:57 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Question
Wilson’s lack of the ‘big’ trade can most likely be attributed to other teams bidding low because they know our cap situation. While our cap issues won’t change, the market for game changers will rise as most free agents who fit in that category have signed. Jonathan Cheechoo and Christian Ehrhoff are two players we have with large contracts and could be considered game changers. However, getting equal value for a Cheechoo or Ehrhoff seems unlikely because other GMs know we HAVE to make a move.
With that said, would you guys rather sell low on Cheechoo, Ehrhoff or both?
I agree with TCY that Cheech still has 30 goal potential, but his massive decline and lack of opportunities with the Sharks with their current roster means Cheech doesn’t have a ton of value (considering his contract) to San Jose. If he remains, he’ll be a 3rd-liner again with limited PP opportunities while potentially being partnered with Mitchell and McGinn- neither of whom is the kind of playmaker that Cheech needs to play at the top of his game.
Ehrhoff had a fantastic 1st half, but saw a major decline in the 2nd half and his defensive lapses have been well-documented. Eventually we saw him relegated to the ‘3rd’ d-pairing with Murray (behind Boyle & Luko/Semenov and Vlasic & Blake), although still being a power play point for a fairamount of time. I doubt we’ll ever see a regular pairing of Boyle and Ehrhoff, and I don’t see a reason to expect Vlasic and Blake will be broken up. So again, Ehrhoff will probably be a 3rd pairing d-man 5 on 5 while receiving some pp time.
We’re looking at a 3rd-line winger and a 4/5 offensive d-man with pp abilities. Both are 3m cap hits next year.
Also, I’m wondering what people think would consider a ‘reasonable’ return for either or both of them?
Oh, so that's where you edit your signature
by Teas on Jul 16, 2009 12:36 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
With US, Cheechoo is a 3rd line winger. With US, Erhoff is a 4/5 offensive d-man.
Anyone who comes to Doug Wilson and says that Cheechoo is a 3rd line winger and they can offer us LESS than 3rd line winger compensation should be slapped with a halibut and sent out the door.
Now, we’re not going to get Rocket Richard compensation for him. It’s a recession. We MUST make trades that net us roster players. I don’t think Wilson is after cap space, because I don’t think anyone not named Dany Heatley wants to come to San Jose. So, I do still think Chechoo/Lukowich is the package we are looking at sending. What I’m hoping for in return is 1 NHL D-man and 2 Forwards. I’m presuming that the D-man will be a bottom pairing, MAYBE middle pairing stay at home guy, and the forwards will be one second and one third line winger. Maybe 2 third liners with a pick/prospect, or a second liner and two picks/prospects.
This might still be highballing it, maybe it’ll be an even swap and the salary cap relief does allow Wilson to sign someone, (Pyatt?).
For Erhoff, Chimera is a nice return, but again, I don’t think it’s unreasonable to ask for picks and prospects. As bad as he may have been for us, he’ll be better for them.
They're not getting this kind of coverage at "Hockey Night In Canada" folks! - Randy Hahn
by ElvisVF101 on Jul 16, 2009 12:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, yes, I know those are what positions they are with us. Obviously Cheech has the potential and ability to be a top 6 forward and Ehrhoff a top 4 d-man on other teams. But that’s part of the leverage for other GMs- they know what value on the Sharks roster Cheech and Ehrhoff have. They’re value to the Sharks roster means that other GMs can equate that to the values of player on their rosters. While this is not the end-all, be-all factor in a trade, it does lower their value a bit more.
Oh, so that's where you edit your signature
by Teas on Jul 16, 2009 12:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed.
I suppose my point is, I want Doug Wilson to stick to his guns and get the best deal possible. Erhoff for Chimera is a deal. Is it the best deal he can get? I don’t believe that. Columbus just made the playoffs for the first time, they know they have Nash locked up, and they have to start thinking win now as well. If they want Erhoff, they know they can get him.
Honestly, again, I think the media is biased here. Yes, Columbus made an offer. Should that be the final word on what Erhoff’s market value is? My opinion, HELL NO!!!
Again, if this was Boston or NY, or MTL, or Toronto, they’d be disecting this thing, proposing counteroffers and analysing it to death. With the Sharks, it’s just “Oh look, someone offered to trade with San Jose. Isn’t that just precious?”
They're not getting this kind of coverage at "Hockey Night In Canada" folks! - Randy Hahn
by ElvisVF101 on Jul 16, 2009 1:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That’s adorable!
Fear the Fin: Where... IMA TAKING UR BLOGZ FRUM U!!
by That'll Cheech You on Jul 16, 2009 1:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Who won the Prezzy-Wezzy Trophy! Yooou did! You won the Prezzy-Wezzy Trophy! Didn’t you!
It's nothing but crumpled porno and Ayn Rand.
by strongrobot on Jul 16, 2009 1:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Stop. I might throw up.
Jon Casey fan since '84
by stufflife on Jul 16, 2009 1:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
don’t make me hurt you
Ever get the feeling we are on a collision course with reality?
by ang6666 on Jul 16, 2009 1:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

"I think I realized after the second or third punch, I should have taken his helmet off sooner." - Ryane Clowe
Fools and Sages
by mymclife on Jul 16, 2009 1:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
New children's book
“Sharkie the Shark and the Salary Cap Blues”
It's nothing but crumpled porno and Ayn Rand.
by strongrobot on Jul 16, 2009 1:30 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's so sweet
I’m getting cavities.
This needs to be on a T-shirt of some sort. I just don’t know what.
They're not getting this kind of coverage at "Hockey Night In Canada" folks! - Randy Hahn
by ElvisVF101 on Jul 16, 2009 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
D'awww
It takes a big man to cry and it takes a bigger man to laugh at that man. -Jamie Baker
NIEDKLERYARYER
oer sometoethin lie kthat!!!! -Mr. K
by Lurker Shark on Jul 17, 2009 6:32 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I’d rather sell low on Cheech than Ehrhoff. For all his inconsistency, Ehrhoff is still a puck-moving defenceman. Given the roster right now, the only guy that fulfills that role is Boyle. Blake has a good first-pass, so that’s valuable, too. But conceivably, we want either a guy that can skate the puck out or pass it out on every pairing. Otherwise, we end up with a defensive corps like two years ago when we were hemmed in our own zone consistently and needed the forwards dropping way back into the zone to help out — which affected the offense and transition game (nonexistent). Some of this creeped back in towards the latter part of the season and in the playoffs. We all saw what a difference Boyle and Blake made in transitioning the puck from one zone to the next.
Without Ehrhoff, the defensive corps could get really stagnant from that standpoint. Huskins has been characterized as a puck-mover, but we haven’t seen that. And, I think it’s reasonable to be mildly concerned or cautious about injury re: Huskins. We can’t expect Joslin to be that type of player yet, I would guess.
And, with the salary cap, everything is more year-to-year anyway, but presumably, Ehrhoff is one of the guys you would lean on moving forward as Boyle ages. The other guy would be Vlasic. I think moving Ehrhoff depends on what kind of offensive progression Vlasic is capable of — or Huskins’ ability to step in. Just based on observation, Vlasic does not have those traits — booming shot or offensive instincts. He is young, sure. But he still looks very much like a stay-at-home guy, though capable of a good first pass.
It would suck to lose Cheechoo. But if he’s going to be a 3rd liner or produce more in line with the past two seasons — regardless of the reasons (role, injuries, confidence, etc) — then someone like McGinn at a third of the cost would be more likely to replace his production than whatever internal options San Jose has for replacing Ehrhoff. I think based on scouting reports, Mike Moore has a better chance of replacing Crankshaft’s minutes/production which would be better cost-savings for the team (than losing Ehrhoff).
by TrevorKidd on Jul 16, 2009 1:13 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
The Farm System
Thanks for addressing the organizational depth issue Kidd.
In terms of Huskings vs. Erhoff, it is tough to judge given Huskins has NEVER played for us. Ducks fans give him a good report, but we’re very much into “what have you done for me lately.” I tend to worry less about reinjury for Huskins because if memory serves, it was a broken foot. Breaks heal. It’s the tears and the sprains and the pulls that wear down guys.
I might be worse up on selling Cheechoo low, because I worry a touch about our top 6. Not because they lack skill, but we’ve been over the heart issue. Cheechoo is a guy who is GOING to push them. You KNOW he wants to be out there on the top line scoring goals, and the team loves him. If we have to part with him (and it breaks my heart to say we have to) I’d like to get value for him.
This is not a financial argument, and sadly, these are the months were money talks most, so it likely won’t pan out.
They're not getting this kind of coverage at "Hockey Night In Canada" folks! - Randy Hahn
by ElvisVF101 on Jul 16, 2009 1:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's a beautiful summer day
So much great analysis here, but I’m getting a little concerned for y’all. Sharks are fine. They’ll be a top contender even if it turns out they lose Cheechoo or Erhoff, but it seems like the wrong time to make those deals, so no use sweating it out now. Let DW keep tweaking the lower roster, and make the big cap move whenever the deal is right.
273 days until the playoffs. Heck, we don’t even need to seriously track which beers are luckiest for several months yet.
by DetroiterInNorCal on Jul 16, 2009 2:28 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
It is a beautiful summer day
Which is part of the problem. I’m stuck in an air-conditioned office, and so the climate control makes me a bit wonky.
Also, 273 days until the playoffs… yikes! It just makes the angst simmer that much worse.
Hockey fans are a crazy bunch. What can I say.
They're not getting this kind of coverage at "Hockey Night In Canada" folks! - Randy Hahn
by ElvisVF101 on Jul 16, 2009 2:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Lots of Hope
We just need to hope that these players will be so upset about their past failures that they will more determined to understand the importance of the season, but the grave importance of the playoffs..They have to have heard more than once about people questioning their hearts, passion and lack of urgency in their play..Hopefully they have enough pride to understand that you have to step up the intensity as each round of playoffs go, starting with the first one..
Its just so hard to forget game four of the Anaheim series..Its really hard to trust this team..
I would love to come back here next summer and eat major crow because the Sharks stepped it up and at least got to the conference finals and played with real heart and intensity..
by The Sear on Jul 16, 2009 7:20 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Well Done
Well thought out analysis and information..
by The Sear on Jul 16, 2009 7:22 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
and now incluse Ortmeyer on a one year deal
by silentearth6 on Jul 16, 2009 9:24 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Great piece TCY.
After a few too many drinks (I didn’t read the entire thread so excuse me if someone mentioned it already), I got to thinking…
Something big has to be brewing. It’s the only thing that makes sense- DW isn’t the kind of guy to paint himself into a corner. If he was going to make a small move and send Cheechoo to the Isles he would have done it already to free up room, I think. Maybe he’s lost his mind, but if all of us loonies over here have been talking about this since mothatrucking March, you have to figure he’s aware of the situation. At least I would hope so.
Who knows- it could be the booze talking. But something tells me DW is going after something bigger than I hoped for/expected. It’s the only thing that makes sense.
Fear The Fin: Where Selling Your Soul Is The Likely Solution
by Mr. Plank on Jul 17, 2009 3:07 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
So if you're right,
will that make you some kind of booze powered prophet?
It takes a big man to cry and it takes a bigger man to laugh at that man. -Jamie Baker
NIEDKLERYARYER
oer sometoethin lie kthat!!!! -Mr. K
by Lurker Shark on Jul 17, 2009 6:33 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

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