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Around SBN: NFL Week One: Previews and Predictions for all 15 games

Special teams play the likely turning point in game five

Photo

Ezra Shaw - Getty Images

With San Jose taking a 3-1 series lead into tonight's game against Detroit, it's worthwhile to take a closer look at how we have come to this point. Both teams have been very competitive at even strength, and as we mentioned in the preview of game three last week, there wasn't a whole lot separating the teams besides timely goals and special teams.

Since game four was such a blowout I've decided not to even touch upon it-- I highly doubt we'll see either of these teams win by six goals tonight, and would probably take that one step further by saying it will be the largest margin of victory in a game once the entire 2010 playoffs come to a close.


Games 1-3

GM #
Team EV Shots EV goals
EV chances PP OPPS
PP Shots
PP Goals
PP Chances
1 San Jose
18
2 13 6 7 2 9
Detroit
19
3 15 5 4 0 1
2 San Jose
25
2 13 10 20 2 10

Detroit
24
2 14 4 6 1 4
3 San Jose
26
4 17 6 7 0 5
Detroit
33
3 23 2 2 0 1
TOT San Jose
69 8 43 22 34 4 24

Detroit
76 8 52 11 12 1 6
DIF. SJ - DET
-7 E -9 +11 +22 +3 +18

A note on the scoring chances data you see here-- the NHL doesn't officially compile this statistic, but Derek Zona of The Copper & Blue has done an excellent job of tracking all opportunities throughout the postseason. Thanks to him for supplying us with that data.

So what does this show us? Well, what we already kind of knew. Both of these clubs are elite and competitive, teams who know what it takes to win hockey games. The Red Wings have carried the play ever so slightly at even strength, but each individual game hasn't been astronomical by any means-- both teams have essentially played each other straight up at five on five.

The key tonight for San Jose will be to capitalize on their power play opportunities like they did during the first two games at home. Whether it be by moving their feet in the offensive zone to force Detroit to take a penalty and avoid giving up a scoring chance, tiring them out by continuing to lay on the body and use the low cycle that has been effective, or exploiting mismatches through the last change, winning the special teams battle is probably going to determine who walks out of HP Pavilion with a win under their belt.

The Sharks PK has been excellent at home. Same goes for the power play. Both are good signs heading into tonight.

In other news, Brad Stuart will be a gametime decision, and I'm assuming Brett Lebda would get the tap if Stuart does not play.

 

Go Sharks.

1 recs  |  Comment 13 comments |

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get some PP goals we win :) Simple!

by THEMARD on May 8, 2010 3:39 PM PDT reply actions  

be nice if we could do that on a 5-on-4. we can’t reasonably expect a 5-on-3 every game.

by PNK on May 8, 2010 3:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

LIKE HELL WE CAN'T!

…filthy cheaters :-P

This is where we hold them! This is where we fight! This is where they die! Remember this day, men, for it will be yours for all time.

by ZeroIndulgence on May 8, 2010 3:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

I thought it was spelled “philthy” in honor of a certain team from the City of Brotherly Love.

Rocking the Red since 1975

by CapsFan75 on May 8, 2010 3:45 PM PDT up reply actions  

Haha, not in this conference!

This is where we hold them! This is where we fight! This is where they die! Remember this day, men, for it will be yours for all time.

by ZeroIndulgence on May 8, 2010 3:47 PM PDT up reply actions  

Okay Sharks. Thursday’s game was a mulligan. An outlier. Put it out of your mind and win tonight.

Rocking the Red since 1975

by CapsFan75 on May 8, 2010 3:45 PM PDT reply actions  

Yeah, the key will be to keep drawing more penalties than we are taking. Not only does it lead to more scoring chances, it definately disrupts the flow of the opposition, having to be on the PK so much. Even not scoring (like game 3), I mean, its really rough going 0-6 on the pp, but at least it helps you get into the flow of your offense, keeps the other team back on their heels a bit. Either way, the Sharks need to play their game. They got away from it early in game 4, and god killed because of it.

We’ll see if the Sharks are on point tonight…we’ll know pretty quickly, methinks.

This is where we hold them! This is where we fight! This is where they die! Remember this day, men, for it will be yours for all time.

by ZeroIndulgence on May 8, 2010 3:47 PM PDT reply actions  

the key will be to keep drawing more penalties than we are taking

Send your donations to “Zebras Care”. Make sure to write “Detroit Penalty Fund” on the envelope.

by calixtus on May 8, 2010 4:23 PM PDT up reply actions  

Waaaaaaaaay ahead of you! ;)

This is where we hold them! This is where we fight! This is where they die! Remember this day, men, for it will be yours for all time.

by ZeroIndulgence on May 8, 2010 4:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

the key will be to keep drawing more penalties than we are taking

Thanks John Madden.

by PNK on May 8, 2010 5:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

so jealous of my dad. i’m studying for finals. in the library here in NYC. and my dad is at the game. sigh. he was at game 2 as well. hopefully we can rebound. fingers crossed!

by brazillion on May 8, 2010 6:36 PM PDT reply actions  

GOOOO SHARKS!

Gettin ready for the puck to drop. I cant wait, Im thinkin its gunna be 4-1. Heater, Patty, Couch, and Pavs will score. Thorton and Blake with 3 assists each.

This is Team Teal. Sharks and Phins.
Cut me open and I bleed Teal...

by Sharkz_N_Phinz on May 8, 2010 6:44 PM PDT reply actions  

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