As a self-diagnosed McGinn homer, I've been following his progress down in the AHL with a lot of interest to see whether he still has the potential and ability to be a top 6 forward in this league, or whether he his destined for a fourth line role.
Looking back in his days in the OHL he posted a 46 goal season, and was seemingly almost as successful and valuable as the great Logan Couture - he scored more points in his best season than Logan did in his, albeit in more games. However, their success in the NHL could hardly be more contrasting. Couture is a star, whilst McGinn was gritting it out on the fourth line, failing to find the goal, before finally being demoted, with seemingly little chance of being recalled, at least for this season.
Down at Worcester, McGinn has played 9 games for 4 goals and 7 points. While not setting the world alight, these are fairly respectable numbers. The most interesting statistic, however, is his shot percentage which lies at 17.4%, second highest on the team after Benn Ferriero (20%). This contrasts with his team low 1.6% shooting percentage in the NHL. Some drop off between the two would be expected considering the difference in goaltending abilities; however, whilst Ferriero's percentage does drop, it remains at a solid 9.1%. McGinn's on the other hand, is shockingly bad.
So, why is McGinn struggling so much to score in the NHL? Could it be that his offensive ability is enough to make him a good AHL player, but not an NHL player? Looking back at last season, Mcginn's shooting percentage was at 13.2%, so it would seem that he does have the tools to beat an NHL goaltender. So perhaps it is just a loss of confidence, or bad luck? He has certainly tried to play a more physical role this season, with 12 more hits after 10 fewer games, and whilst I have enjoyed and appreciated his work ethic and this style of play, when he next gets a chance in the big league I think he needs to try and showcase his offensive talents as well as contributing to the team as a checking forward, or he may end up being pigeon-holed in that role. Because I don't believe that Mcginn definitely has more offensive upside and could yet be a legitimate top-6 forward.