Week 10 Playoff Probabilities

Thearon W. Henderson

Playoff Probability movement picks up as we enter the last leg of the season.

Below are the current playoff probabilities as of 3/30/13, with change in PP indicating change from 1 week ago. Tables are sortable, click on column heading.


Western Conference

Team SAF% Playoff Probability Change Mean Points Current Points Current Rank Home/Road Diff
Chicago Blackhawks 54.34 100.0% 0.0% 71.63 53 1 1
Anaheim Ducks 48.34 99.4% -0.2% 64.93 50 2 0
Vancouver Canucks 53.10 92.5% 3.9% 59.65 44 4 -1
Los Angeles Kings 56.39 89.9% 5.6% 59.22 41 5 0
Minnesota Wild 49.23 90.0% 11.8% 59.10 44 3 0
San Jose Sharks 51.23 69.7% 15.9% 55.35 38 6 3
Detroit Red Wings 51.54 67.1% 4.4% 54.76 39 7 0
St. Louis Blues 52.18 60.2% -22.8% 53.64 36 9 1
Dallas Stars 49.16 37.8% -6.6% 50.75 35 10 -1
Edmonton Oilers 45.58 22.8% 7.3% 48.91 35 11 2
Nashville Predators 47.37 18.6% -2.8% 48.48 35 12 3
Phoenix Coyotes 51.22 21.8% -6.1% 48.29 33 13 -2
Columbus Blue Jackets 46.25 15.3% 0.5% 47.62 35 8 -3
Calgary Flames 48.81 12.0% -5.1% 45.86 30 14 -3
Colorado Avalanche 48.56 2.9% -5.9% 42.77 28 15 0

(updated 3.30.2013 at 12:12 AM PST)



Eastern Conference

Final Standings Team Score Adj Fenwick% Playoff Probability Change in PP Mean Points Current Points Current Rank Home/Road Diff
1 Pittsburgh Penguins 51.70 100.0% 0.1% 69.50 56 1 -2
2 Montreal Canadiens 54.02 99.9% 0.2% 66.33 49 2 0
3 Winnipeg Jets 50.26 68.6% 6.3% 53.25 38 3 3
4 Boston Bruins 54.81 99.4% -0.2% 65.24 46 4 3
5 Ottawa Senators 51.40 93.4% 0.2% 58.56 44 5 -3
6 Toronto Maple Leafs 46.35 80.6% 22.1% 55.64 44 6 0
7 New Jersey Devils 52.41 72.8% -1.5% 54.27 39 7 1
8 New York Rangers 52.47 51.6% -11.4% 51.43 35 8 -2
9 Carolina Hurricanes 50.25 38.2% -22.6% 49.34 32 10 0
10 New York Islanders 49.66 31.1% 8.1% 49.05 35 9 -3
11 Washington Capitals 48.60 28.3% 6.4% 48.09 33 11 2
12 Philadelphia Flyers 48.87 15.0% -4.6% 45.90 31 12 0
13 Tampa Bay Lightning 46.93 13.2% 3.6% 45.05 31 14 -2
14 Buffalo Sabres 44.47 7.3% -5.1% 44.41 32 13 5
15 Florida Panthers 49.59 0.8% -1.4% 40.70 28 15 -2

(updated 3.30.2013 at 12:12 AM PST)



Score Adjusted Fenwick%

Team SAF% SAF Rank FenClose% FenClose Rank
Los Angeles Kings 56.4 1 58.6 1
Boston Bruins 54.8 2 55.03 2
Chicago Blackhawks 54.3 3 54.4 4
Montreal Canadiens 54.0 4 53.47 8
Vancouver Canucks 53.1 5 53.67 5
New York Rangers 52.5 6 53.52 7
New Jersey Devils 52.4 7 53.67 5
St. Louis Blues 52.2 8 54.46 3
Pittsburgh Penguins 51.7 9 51.24 13
Detroit Red Wings 51.5 10 51.73 9
Ottawa Senators 51.4 11 49.91 16
San Jose Sharks 51.2 12 51.54 11
Phoenix Coyotes 51.2 13 50.09 15
Winnipeg Jets 50.3 14 50.27 14
Carolina Hurricanes 50.3 15 51.54 11
New York Islanders 49.7 16 49.7 17
Dallas Stars 49.2 19 48.85 20
Florida Panthers 49.6 17 51.62 10
Minnesota Wild 49.2 18 48.32 21
Philadelphia Flyers 48.9 20 48.92 19
Calgary Flames 48.8 21 48.96 18
Colorado Avalanche 48.6 23 47.42 22
Washington Capitals 48.6 22 46.87 25
Anaheim Ducks 48.3 24 47.25 23
Nashville Predators 47.4 25 47.11 24
Tampa Bay Lightning 46.9 26 44.99 26
Columbus Blue Jackets 46.3 28 44.52 29
Toronto Maple Leafs 46.3 27 44.94 27
Edmonton Oilers 45.6 29 44.72 28
Buffalo Sabres 44.5 30 43.94 30

(updated 3.30.2013 at 12:12 AM PST)


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