By the numbers: Sharks vs. Kings, Game 6

Harry How

Scoring chances, zone entries, zone exits and more from the Sharks' 4-1 loss to Los Angeles in Game 6 of the Western Conference Quarterfinals.

Scoring Chances

Complete scoring chance summary

Team Period Time Note Home Away State
Home 1 14:22 Williams from Doughty, goal 6 8 14 28 32 74 7 8 9 32 57 61 5v5
Home 1 13:20 Richards from Carter on 2on1, save 6 8 10 22 32 77 7 12 32 39 61 83 5v5
Away 1 11:58 Boyle backhand from Thornton, save 11 12 23 26 32 44 19 22 32 48 52 88 5v5
Away 1 11:18 Wingels backhand from Havlat, save 14 27 28 32 33 74 5 8 9 27 32 57 5v5
Home 1 10:33 Toffoli from Carter, miss 26 32 44 70 73 77 7 12 32 39 61 83 5v5
Home 1 8:39 Kopitar from Carter, save (5v4 PP) 8 11 12 27 32 77 7 8 12 32 61 5v4
Home 1 7:59 Gaborik from Kopitar, save (5v4 PP) 8 11 12 27 32 77 5 27 32 39 57 5v4
Home 1 7:46 Martinez backhand from Doughty, save (5v4 PP) 8 11 12 27 32 77 5 27 32 39 57 5v4
Home 2 17:18 Toffoli from Clifford, save 6 8 13 22 32 73 10 13 15 22 32 52 5v5
Away 2 16:11 Burns from Thornton, save 14 26 28 32 44 74 7 19 32 48 61 88 5v5
Away 2 12:57 Marleau from Boyle, save (5v3 PP) 8 11 32 33 8 12 19 22 32 39 3v5
Away 2 10:38 Torres one-timer from Desjardins, save 26 32 44 70 73 77 7 10 13 15 32 61 5v5
Away 2 7:35 Sheppard deflection from Braun, goal 12 14 27 28 32 44 7 9 13 15 32 61 5v5
Away 2 6:45 Hertl from Thornton, save 11 13 23 26 32 44 5 19 27 32 48 88 5v5
Home 2 1:07 Brown from Kopitar, save 11 12 23 26 32 44 5 19 27 32 48 83 5v5
Home 2 0:56 Gaborik backhand from Brown, miss 11 12 23 26 32 44 5 19 27 32 48 83 5v5
Home 2 0:54 Gaborik, save 11 12 23 26 32 44 5 19 27 32 48 83 5v5
Away 3 19:32 Couture deflection from Hannan, save 6 8 11 12 23 32 5 12 27 32 39 83 5v5
Home 3 15:09 Brown breakaway, save 6 8 10 13 23 32 8 22 32 48 52 88 5v5
Away 3 10:30 Nieto off turnover, crossbar 23 26 27 32 70 77 7 12 32 39 61 83 5v5
Away 3 10:15 Marleau deflection from Couture, miss 23 26 27 32 70 77 7 12 32 39 61 83 5v5
Home 3 8:07 Williams deflection from Regehr, save 11 14 26 32 44 74 8 9 22 32 52 57 5v5
Home 3 8:05 Williams rebound, goal 11 14 26 32 44 74 8 9 22 32 52 57 5v5
Home 3 6:35 Williams deflection from King on 3on2, save 8 11 14 27 32 74 5 19 27 32 48 88 5v5
Home 3 6:34 Kopitar rebound from Williams, goal 8 11 14 27 32 74 5 19 27 32 48 88 5v5
Home 3 5:20 Doughty deflection from Martinez, save (5v4 PP) 8 11 12 27 32 77 5 8 12 27 32 5v4
Home 3 5:19 Kopitar rebound from Doughty, goal (5v4 PP) 8 11 12 27 32 77 5 8 12 27 32 5v4
Away 3 1:47 Burns deflection from Braun, save 6 8 28 32 70 74 7 10 19 32 61 88 5v5
Away 3 1:08 Marleau from Demers, save (4v5 SH) 6 8 13 22 32 73 5 12 27 32 83 5v4

On-ice scoring chances, for and against

# Player EV PP SH
5 DEMERS, JASON 17:19 3 5 01:29 0 0 02:28 1 4
7 STUART, BRAD 15:03 6 3 00:00 0 0 02:03 0 1
8 PAVELSKI, JOE 12:49 1 4 03:40 1 0 01:41 0 3
9 HAVLAT, MARTY 11:34 2 3 00:00 0 0 00:15 0 0
10 DESJARDINS, ANDREW 08:48 2 1 00:00 0 0 01:13 0 0
12 MARLEAU, PATRICK 12:56 3 2 03:04 1 0 02:20 1 3
13 TORRES, RAFFI 08:24 2 1 00:00 0 0 00:00 0 0
15 SHEPPARD, JAMES 11:18 2 1 00:00 0 0 00:52 0 0
19 THORNTON, JOE 13:58 4 5 04:02 1 0 00:00 0 0
22 BOYLE, DAN 16:39 1 4 04:01 1 0 00:33 0 0
27 HANNAN, SCOTT 17:10 3 5 00:00 0 0 02:28 1 4
32 STALOCK, ALEX 10 12 1 0 1 5
39 COUTURE, LOGAN 14:01 3 2 02:39 1 0 01:30 0 2
48 HERTL, TOMAS 13:48 3 6 00:53 0 0 00:00 0 0
52 IRWIN, MATT 17:17 1 4 00:53 0 0 00:33 0 0
57 WINGELS, TOMMY 11:27 1 3 01:51 0 0 01:23 0 2
61 BRAUN, JUSTIN 16:39 6 3 00:00 0 0 02:03 0 1
83 NIETO, MATT 15:16 3 5 00:00 0 0 00:54 1 0
88 BURNS, BRENT 12:11 4 3 02:03 0 0 00:00 0 0

Team scoring chance totals

Period Totals EV 5v4 PP 5v3 PP 4v5 SH 3v5 SH
1 2 6 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0
2 5 4 4 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
3 5 7 4 5 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0
Ovr 12 17 10 12 0 0 1 0 1 5 0 0

Head-to-head scoring chances

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There's a lot that Todd McLellan got right in Game 6--sitting Mike Brown for Marty Havlat was five games past-due but at least it finally happened and he and Larry Robinson optimally paired their defensemen in the absence of Marc-Edouard Vlasic. But placing Havlat on a line with Joe Pavelski and Tommy Wingels was a head-scratcher. It shouldn't be this difficult for an intelligent coaching staff to figure out how to make the most of their incredible forward depth but it apparently is. The value of analytics in hockey is sometimes downplayed because the stats and eye test match up somewhere around 95% of the time, and I'd certainly agree with that assessment. But the reason statistics are valuable is that evaluating players by the eye test alone requires you to have a near-eidetic memory.

It was clear from mid-November to early December when Havlat was on a line with Pavelski that the two didn't mesh. The coaching staff believed this too as they dismantled the Havlat-Pavelski-Kennedy line prior to a game in Minnesota, never to be seen again. It was clear down the stretch in the 2013 regular season that Raffi Torres, Pavelski and Wingels were aces together. The coaching staff believed this too as they kept them together as long as possible (which ended up being right until Havlat got injured in Game 1 against Vancouver that spring). The problem is that they're seemingly incapable of remembering these things long-term, and they shouldn't be expected to; so much has happened since those runs that it's impossible to keep track of this stuff unless you pay attention to the data.

They don't pay attention to it (or are looking at stuff that doesn't matter) and the result is what happened on Monday. Despite being the only Sharks line to start more shifts in the offensive zone than the defensive end, Havlat - Pavelski - Wingels ended up with the three worst on-ice shot differentials on the team. Even-strength scoring chances were 3-1 Kings when that trio was on the ice together, with two of those chances finding the back of the net. Again, swapping Brown for Havlat was a good decision and it led to a great game by the Brown-less fourth line but it should have been obvious playing Havlat with Pavelski was a bad call. They should have either reunited Marleau - Couture - Havlat and the American Express lines, put Torres with Pavelski and run a Sheppard - Desjardins - Havlat fourth line or simply put Tyler Kennedy in instead. This was game 88 and McLellan still hasn't figured out how to optimally deploy his forward corps. He isn't the only reason this series isn't over yet but he's probably the biggest.

5-on-5 Zone Entries


# Player Overall Entries Shots Per Overall Entry Controlled Entries Shots Per Controlled Entry % Of Entries With Control
5 DEMERS, JASON 1 1 0 0 0
7 STUART, BRAD 3 0 1 0 33.3
8 PAVELSKI, JOE 6 0.16 2 0 33.3
9 HAVLAT, MARTY 4 0.75 3 1 75
10 DESJARDINS, ANDREW 2 0.5 1 1 50
12 MARLEAU, PATRICK 1 0 0 0 0
13 TORRES, RAFFI 5 0.6 1 0 20
15 SHEPPARD, JAMES 3 0.33 1 0 33.3
19 THORNTON, JOE 2 2 1 3 50
22 BOYLE, DAN 2 1 0 0 0
27 HANNAN, SCOTT 5 0.6 0 0 0
39 COUTURE, LOGAN 5 0.4 2 0 40
48 HERTL, TOMAS 7 0.71 4 1 57.1
52 IRWIN, MATT 2 0 0 0 0
57 WINGELS, TOMMY 1 0 0 0 0
61 BRAUN, JUSTIN 1 4 0 0 0
83 NIETO, MATT 4 0.25 2 0.5 50
88 BURNS, BRENT 5 0 2 0 40
Sharks Overall 59 0.53 20 0.6 33.9
Kings Overall 66 0.47 29 0.79 43.9

While the Sharks did a reasonably good job of retrieving dump-ins to generate offense, they were once again largely stymied by the Kings in the neutral zone, every bit as ineffective at generating controlled entries into the offensive zone as they were in Game 5. There's a lot to like about San Jose's improvements from Game 5 to 6 but breaking down the Kings' neutral zone forecheck with speed isn't one of them. As Game 7 looms, they need to figure out a way to establish their transition game as they did in Games 1-4 because it's been awfully tough to generate quality looks on Jonathan Quick without it. Patrick Marleau in particular has struggled to be effective these past two games as L.A. has reverted to the more structured neutral zone setup we're used to seeing them employ.

5-on-5 Zone Exits


# Player Touches In-Zone Passes Carry-Out Pass-Out Turnover Icing Overall Success % Exit Success %
5 DEMERS, JASON 20 10 6 0 4 0 30.0 60.0
7 STUART, BRAD 17 11 2 1 2 1 17.6 50.0
8 PAVELSKI, JOE 4 1 0 2 1 0 50.0 66.7
9 HAVLAT, MARTY 3 0 1 0 2 0 33.3 33.3
10 DESJARDINS, ANDREW 4 1 2 1 0 0 75.0 100.0
12 MARLEAU, PATRICK 6 2 1 0 2 1 16.7 25.0
13 TORRES, RAFFI 3 1 1 0 1 0 33.3 50.0
15 SHEPPARD, JAMES 3 1 1 0 1 0 33.3 50.0
19 THORNTON, JOE 12 4 5 1 2 0 50.0 75.0
22 BOYLE, DAN 19 12 3 1 2 1 21.1 57.1
27 HANNAN, SCOTT 14 7 2 0 5 0 14.3 28.6
39 COUTURE, LOGAN 9 2 2 2 3 0 44.4 57.1
48 HERTL, TOMAS 7 2 3 1 1 0 57.1 80.0
52 IRWIN, MATT 16 4 4 3 5 0 43.8 58.3
57 WINGELS, TOMMY 3 1 2 0 0 0 66.7 100.0
61 BRAUN, JUSTIN 24 13 4 0 6 1 16.7 36.4
83 NIETO, MATT 9 1 3 2 3 0 55.6 62.5
88 BURNS, BRENT 6 3 0 1 1 1 16.7 33.3

Overall 179 76 42 15 41 5 37.5 56.9

Matt Irwin was the team's best defenseman in Game 6 at turning defensive-zone puck touches into successful zone exits and their second best defenseman at exiting the zone on clear attempts to. Why was he in the press box instead of Scott Hannan for the first five games of this series again? An encouraging sign, and a big reason the Sharks were far more competitive at even-strength in this game than Game 5, is that the team as a whole was able to carry the puck out of the defensive zone on 23% of their d-zone touches compared to just 8% on Saturday.

For more on what scoring chances, zone entries and zone exits are, how they're tracked, and why they matter, read this post.

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