Mymclife had a really good piece on Heatley earlier this month, which serves as a basis for this short mathematical exercise. Mine will be slightly less involved with an emphasis on plain numbers, so if you’re looking for more please take full advantage of the wonderful in-text linking capabilities provided by the good tech folks here at SB Nation.
Unlike previous pieces detailing salary structure, we will not include Jamie McGinn. It will operate under the assumption McLellan will have one forward and a defenseman scratched, and will solely focus on the 2009-2010 roster- the future ramifications will deserve a much more in-depth look if the time is appropriate.
Assuming Dany Heatley find himself in a Sharks sweater at some point this offseason, here is where the Sharks currently stand:
Heatley-Thornton-Setoguchi
Marleau-Pavelski-Clowe
Michalek-None-Cheechoo
Shelley-Nichol-None
None
Lukowich-Boyle
Vlasic-Blake
Ehrhoff-Murray
Huskins
Nabokov
None
Needs: 3 Forwards, 1 goaltender
Cap Space: -$6.6 M
Ehrhoff, Cheechoo, Michalek, and Lukowich are moved:
Heatley-Thornton-Setoguchi
Marleau-Pavelski-Clowe
None-None-None
Shelley-Nichol-None
None
Murray-Boyle
Vlasic-Blake
None-Huskins
None
Nabokov
None
Needs: 5 Forwards, 2 defenseman 1 goaltender
Cap Space: $5.4 M, roughly $675,000 per player
*******
Marleau, Ehrhoff, Cheechoo, Michalek, and Lukowich are moved:
Forwards: Heatley-Thornton-Setoguchi
None-Pavelski-Clowe
None-None-None
Shelley-Nichol-None
None
Defenseman: Murray-Boyle
Vlasic-Blake
None-Huskins
None
Goaltenders: Nabokov
None
Needs: 6 Forwards, 2 defenseman 1 goaltender
Cap Space: $11.7 M, roughly $1.3 M per player
*******
Nabokov, Ehrhoff, Cheechoo, Michalek, and Lukowich are moved:
Forwards: Heatley-Thornton-Setoguchi
Marleau-Pavelski-Clowe
None-None-None
Shelley-Nichol-None
None
Defenseman: Murray-Boyle
Vlasic-Blake
None-Huskins
None
Goaltenders: None
None
Needs: 5 Forwards, 2 defenseman 2 goaltenders
Cap Space: $10.8 M, roughly $1.2 M per player
*******
I know Heatley has been beaten to death around here for the last three weeks, but with Don Brennan’s rumor clock reaching the forty-eighth hour (admittedly, talks have stalled) I felt this would be appropriate.
The underlying point is what I tried to convey two days ago– the personnel you give up when trading for Dany Heatley is much more than just who will be playing in Ottawa next season. His $7.5 M cap hit will force multiple transactions to occur, and these transactions that will include some very notable names.
Looking at the raw numbers, it seems as if either Nabokov or Marleau will be playing elsewhere in October. I just don’t think you can field a competitive team otherwise. In a perfect world Nabokov is moved and Halak gets the starting job, but the kicker here (discluding any concerns over an unproven tandem of Halak-Greiss) is that Marleau looks to be the sole piece who will get you Halak. The plausibility of a Cristobal Huet esque deal looks pretty slim at this moment.
Go Sharks.
Assuming the situation presents itself….
| Move Marleau | 97 |
| Move Nabokov | 150 |
| I have a different solution (qualify in comments) | 74 |
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